The global oil market has been upended by the U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran that began in late February 2026. The effective closure or severe restriction of the Strait of Hormuz — the chokepoint carrying roughly 20 million barrels per day (bpd), or about one-fifth of global seaborne oil and LNG — triggered the largest supply […]
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In the high-stakes world of global energy markets, two prices for oil exist side by side — but they are telling wildly different stories right now. The “paper” price, reflected in Brent and WTI futures contracts traded on exchanges, sits around $99 per barrel as of April 22, 2026. Meanwhile, the physical price for delivered […]
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The global oil market is facing its most severe supply shock in years. Ongoing disruptions in the Middle East—driven by conflict and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz—have slashed exports by more than 13 million barrels per day (mb/d), triggered massive production shut-ins, and sent inventories plunging. According to the International Energy Agency’s […]
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The ongoing closure of the Strait of Hormuz—now in its seventh week—has triggered the largest oil supply shock in modern history. Roughly 20 million barrels per day (mb/d) of crude and products once flowed through this narrow chokepoint. Today, tanker traffic has collapsed, exports have plunged to a trickle, and Gulf producers have been forced […]
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As of April 20, 2026, U.S.-Iran negotiations remain in a state of high-stakes uncertainty. No final round of talks has been formally confirmed for this week, despite President Trump’s repeated statements that a deal is “very close” and that Iran has signaled willingness to suspend its nuclear program indefinitely in exchange for sanctions relief and […]
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The United Arab Emirates (UAE) has quietly opened discussions with the United States for emergency access to U.S. dollars, seeking a financial backstop as the recent Iran conflict strains its economy and disrupts key oil export routes. According to multiple U.S. officials cited in reporting, UAE Central Bank Governor Khaled Mohamed Balama raised the possibility […]
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The Energy Realities Gang of Irina Slav, Dr. Tammy Nemeth, David Blackmon, and me had way too much fun this morning. What a wild day with Irina Slav, Dr. Tammy Nemeth, David Blackmon and Stu Turley on the Energy realities podcast. We had GREAT questions from the live viewers on YouTube and LinkedIn! Thank you […]
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As the Iran conflict escalates with U.S. and Israeli strikes targeting Iranian energy infrastructure, the Iran-backed Houthis in Yemen have issued a stark warning: they are prepared to close the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, effectively blocking oil exports through the Red Sea. Houthi Deputy Foreign Minister Hussein al-Ezzi stated, “If Sana’a decides to close the Bab […]
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In the energy markets, there’s no single “oil price” anymore — and today’s fractured reality proves it. As highlighted in a sharp analysis posted this morning by commodity trader Jack Prandelli, the spreads tell the real story: Forties (physical) → $134 Dated Brent (physical) → $116 Brent futures → $99 WTI → $87 Canadian crude […]
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ENB Pub Note: This article is from Andrew Korybko’s Newsletter on Substack. We recommend subscribing and reading for a different point of view as he has shown to be right many times! Both benefit from this since the US wants to avoid India sliding into turmoil amidst the global energy crisis and possibly offsetting its […]
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