The U.S. dollar and oil prices are moving in lockstep like never before — and the ongoing Iran war is the reason.

Eleven weeks into the Middle East conflict that has effectively shuttered the Strait of Hormuz and sent energy prices soaring, the correlation between the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index and Brent crude futures has hit its highest level on record. This marks the strongest daily tandem movement between the greenback and oil in more than two […]

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When the Paper Price of Oil Catches Up with the Physical Price of Delivered Oil, It Will Be a Violent Swing UP

In the high-stakes world of global energy markets, two prices for oil exist side by side — but they are telling wildly different stories right now. The “paper” price, reflected in Brent and WTI futures contracts traded on exchanges, sits around $99 per barrel as of April 22, 2026. Meanwhile, the physical price for delivered […]

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