California is Within Weeks of a Shutdown

California’s energy system is teetering on the edge of collapse. Decades of aggressive refinery closures, strict CARB fuel specifications, and heavy reliance on long-haul imports have left the state uniquely vulnerable. The ongoing disruption in the Strait of Hormuz—triggered by the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran—has now turned that vulnerability into an imminent crisis. Refined product […]

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Global Oil Inventories Fall to Record Lows. What does this mean to investors and consumers?

The global oil market is facing its most severe supply shock in years. Ongoing disruptions in the Middle East—driven by conflict and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz—have slashed exports by more than 13 million barrels per day (mb/d), triggered massive production shut-ins, and sent inventories plunging. According to the International Energy Agency’s […]

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Where are Oil and LNG Prices Heading? What are the second order impacts for consumers and investors?

The global energy markets are in flux as of mid-April 2026, shaped by severe disruptions from the ongoing Middle East conflict (centered on Iran and the Strait of Hormuz). This has curtailed roughly 7–10 mb/d of crude, NGLs, and refined product exports in March–April, triggering sharp price spikes and inventory draws. Brent crude averaged $103/bbl […]

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A Structural Shift in Capital Allocation in the Energy Sector is Underway Due to the Iran Conflict

The 2026 Iran conflict, which escalated in late February with U.S.-Israeli strikes and Iranian retaliation—including the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and attacks on energy infrastructure—has triggered the largest supply disruption in global oil market history. Nearly 20% of the world’s oil and significant LNG volumes have been taken offline, sending Brent crude […]

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It Will Take Months for the Oil, Gas and LNG Markets to Stabilize, and the New Floor Is Around $82

The Iran war has delivered the largest supply shock in energy-market history, with Gulf producers shutting in roughly 9 million barrels per day (bpd) of crude and related liquids. While a potential two-week ceasefire has sparked some price relief, analysts and the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) agree that full market stabilization will take months […]

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