Tag: Ukraine

Middle East Escalation Meets China’s Return: Dual Chokepoints, Record Tanker Rates, and an Upward Spiral in Crude and Products

Clark Savage1

The Middle East energy map tightened sharply over the past week even as China resumed heavier crude buying. Houthi forces seized key Red Sea positions including Mocha and Perim Island, tightening control over the Bab el-Mandeb Strait and targeting Saudi-linked vessels. Drones originating from Iraq struck Saudi Arabia’s East-West pipeline, prompting a precautionary shutdown of […]

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Russia Hits Odesa Again as Black Sea Shipping Disrupted

Clark Savage20

Russian forces launched another large missile-and-drone barrage on Ukraine’s Odesa region overnight September 11–12, 2026, hitting residential buildings, energy infrastructure, and the port complex that once moved the bulk of Ukraine’s grain and oilseed exports. Ukrainian officials reported at least 11 people killed and 96 injured nationwide, including a five-month-old infant in Odesa. Air defenses […]

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U.S. fuel prices have climbed to their highest levels since the Iran war began in late February, with diesel setting fresh all-time records and wholesale costs now exceeding the peaks seen before the first ceasefires.

Clark Savage42

How high they go from here, and how long they stay elevated, depends less on crude alone than on a global refining system that is already running near its limits. Energy analyst John Kemp noted Wednesday that the combined cost of U.S. crude and refining margins is now higher than in early April. So far […]

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WTI is trading in the low-to-mid $90s this week and is more likely to test $93–$98 than to sustain a move above $100 unless there is a sharp new disruption.

Clark Savage40

Physical tightness, high product cracks, and China’s selective rebound in buying are supporting prices, but inventories, China’s still-subdued import volumes, and the existing backwardation already price in a good deal of risk. What the OilPrice article and related reporting show The Sept. 7 OilPrice piece (and the overlapping Bloomberg coverage it draws on) reports that […]

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Global Diesel Shortage on the Horizon

Clark Savage61

If you think diesel prices will ease next year, Wall Street is not with you. On August 31, 2026, CoinBureau founder Nic Puckrin flagged Goldman Sachs for more than doubling its 2027 diesel-margin forecasts, arguing that refineries are being hit from every direction—Middle East strikes, Russian export bans, and winter demand—with diesel at the epicenter […]

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Ukraine Hits Lukoil Refinery. How Degraded is the Russian Refinery Capacity?

Clark Savage118

On the morning of August 21, 2026, Ukrainian drones struck the Lukoil-Permnefteorgsintez oil refinery in Russia’s Perm Krai, more than 1,500 kilometers from the Ukrainian border. Thick black smoke rose over the facility, one of Russia’s 10 largest refineries with a design capacity of around 13 million metric tons of crude per year (approximately 262,000 […]

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EU’s CBAM will cripple the ability to Re-Arm the EU in a Post Russia/Ukraine war

Clark Savage59

As Europe contemplates a post-Russia/Ukraine war landscape, the imperative to re-arm and rebuild credible conventional deterrence has never been clearer. Tanks, artillery systems, armored vehicles, munitions, and supporting infrastructure all demand vast quantities of high-quality steel—often 50–60 tonnes for a main battle tank and up to 100 tonnes for certain self-propelled artillery pieces. Yet the […]

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US Senate Passes Russia Sanctions Bill Championed by Graham: Is This Even Worth the Paper It Is Written On?

Clark Savage84

On August 7, 2026, the U.S. Senate overwhelmingly passed the Lindsey O. Graham Sanctioning Russia and Iran Act of 2026 by a vote of 86-11. The bipartisan measure, renamed in honor of the late South Carolina Senator Lindsey Graham—who championed it until his death last month—now heads to the House. The legislation authorizes the president […]

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