It Will Take Months for the Oil, Gas and LNG Markets to Stabilize, and the New Floor Is Around $82

The Iran war has delivered the largest supply shock in energy-market history, with Gulf producers shutting in roughly 9 million barrels per day (bpd) of crude and related liquids. While a potential two-week ceasefire has sparked some price relief, analysts and the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) agree that full market stabilization will take months […]

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ExxonMobil Sees 6% of Global Output Impacted by Iran War, But What Does This Mean for Q1 and Q2?

ExxonMobil Corp. (XOM) disclosed on April 8, 2026, that the ongoing Iran war has knocked out approximately 6% of its global first-quarter production. The disruption stems from widespread paralysis in Persian Gulf energy infrastructure, including direct hits on facilities where Exxon holds stakes. While the volume loss is notable, sharply higher oil and LNG prices […]

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The USA won’t be there to help you anymore, go get your own oil

President Donald J. Trump delivered a no-holds-barred message on Truth Social today that is already sending shockwaves through global energy markets and diplomatic circles. In a post targeting “allies” who sat on the sidelines during U.S. and Israeli operations against Iran, Trump declared that the era of America single-handedly guaranteeing safe passage for Middle East […]

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Iran Strikes UAE’s Key Hormuz Bypass: Fujairah Terminal Under Fire as One Major Pipeline Route Goes Down — Saudi’s 7M bpd Red Sea Lifeline Now at Risk from Houthis

In a dramatic escalation of the Iran conflict, Iranian drone strikes have repeatedly hammered the UAE’s Fujairah oil terminal — the critical endpoint of the Abu Dhabi Crude Oil Pipeline (ADCOP, also known as Habshan–Fujairah). This pipeline was one of the region’s primary bypass routes around the now-blocked Strait of Hormuz. Multiple attacks in mid-March […]

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What are the potential timelines for energy disruptions from the Strait of Hormuz

The Strait of Hormuz remains effectively closed amid the ongoing U.S.-Israel conflict with Iran, halting nearly all tanker traffic through the critical chokepoint that normally carries about 20% of global oil and LNG trade, along with roughly 5 million barrels per day (mbd) of refined petroleum products. JP Morgan Commodities Research has modeled the ripple […]

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Oil and LNG Market Seaborne Buffer Runs Low and Iran War Drags On – The world is still pumping oil, just not as much as we need.

The Iran war, now stretching into its third week with the Strait of Hormuz effectively closed since early March 2026, has delivered the largest oil supply disruption in history. Gulf producers have slashed output by at least 10 million barrels per day (mb/d), but the global shortfall is “only” 8–10 mb/d thanks to pre-positioned floating […]

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